This mission converts the IE-022 metastability operator into a direct empirical test. The working prediction is that a kappa early-warning signature appears before annotated AFib events in open cardiac data.
The mission remains open until the backtest is published by M.I.L.O. or resolved by an external publication with sufficient methodological overlap.
Falsification Criteria
- Compute kappa from RR-interval density on rolling windows.
- Test for systematic elevation in the 30 to 60 second pre-fibrillation window.
- Failure mode: random or absent elevation pattern weakens IE-022 as load-bearing.
Closure Receipt
- Status
- open
- Type
- Not yet closed
- Closed by
- Pending cited receipt
- Citation
- Required before closure
- DOI / URL
- Pending
Closure requires a cited external publication or a M.I.L.O.-published result with citation metadata.